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The Art of Coffee Forecasting: Managing Inventory for Seasonal Changes

Writer: Justin VanHoyJustin VanHoy

Effective inventory management is crucial for family-owned coffee shops, particularly when it comes to anticipating seasonal fluctuations in demand. Understanding how to forecast your coffee needs can help you maintain freshness while minimizing waste and ensuring you never run out of customer favorites.

Start by analyzing your sales data from previous years to identify patterns. Most cafes see significant variations in both overall volume and drink preferences between seasons. For example, summer might bring increased demand for cold brew and iced drinks, while winter sees a spike in hot chocolate and flavored lattes. This data can help you adjust your wholesale coffee orders accordingly.

Consider external factors that might impact your needs, such as local events, tourism patterns, or nearby business activities. Family-owned shops often have an advantage here, as their deep community connections provide valuable insights into upcoming events or changes that might affect coffee consumption.

We recommend creating a detailed seasonal forecasting calendar that accounts for factors like:

  • Historical sales data by month and day of week

  • Local events and festivals

  • School schedules (if near educational institutions)

  • Tourism patterns

  • Weather trends

  • Upcoming promotions or special offers

At Haiku Brew Coffee, we help our wholesale partners develop accurate forecasting systems and offer flexible ordering options to accommodate seasonal adjustments.

 
 
 

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